1.5C still possible says IEA - on which planet?

Fatih Birol, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency, says that 1.5C is still possible. 

Really?

To support this the IEA says that investment in clean energy is increasing fast, driven by Russian aggression against Ukraine. That's doubtless true but largely beside the point. To keep within 1.5C we don't need more clean energy - we need less dirty energy. Because its dirty energy that drives climate change. The current position is that both are growing in order to meet increasing total demand.

To reduce dirty energy we need to turn off all fossil fuel-burning electricity generators, starting with coal. We need to decarbonise transport and industry. You know the rest I'm sure. 

The IEA says that fossil fuel use might peak this decade. The latest IPCC report says that emissions have to reduce 45% by the end of the decade. That sounds very different from 'peaking' to me.

And the UN agrees. It forecasts a 2.6C increase if countries meet their pledges - itself wildly unlikely. I'm sure Fatih Birol lives on a nice planet. I wish it were mine.