Monday, 25 November 2024

COP ends. Cop-out

 

Once again a climate COP has finished. Once again it finished in failure. This COP is worse than a failure - it is a betrayal.

It betrays the hopes of those who thought that its decisions would match the severity of the crisis. For this is the year in which the global temperature first exceeded the Paris climate target - 1.5 Celsius. That is just a fact. And it is nearly certain that most years will exceed the target in the coming decade.

And it betrays those whose lives, livelihoods and communities have already been damaged by the climate emergency - the inhabitants of low-lying islands, parched semi-deserts and flood ravaged valleys.

Worst of all it betrays our shared future. For we could have a world in which clean green energy makes us more secure and protects us against petrostate tyrants. A world in which natural energy and sound construction give us warm, comfortable homes. A world in which our lungs are safe from air pollution and our cities are not clogged with diesel and petrol cars.

Instead the fossil fuel lobbyists and petrostate politicians - the salesmen of human death and global collapse - will continue digging coal and pumping oil. To bribe governments and mislead publics. To make obscene profits from the worst thing that anyone could do - the destruction of our shared natural world and thus of our human future.
 
Once again global leaders have seen what's needed and resolved not to do it. Following Schiller we might say that "against stupidity even the gods contend in vain” However, world leaders are not too stupid to know the results of their actions. They are too cowardly to confront the vested interests. If there is a remedy for this its well above my pay grade.

Wednesday, 6 November 2024

5/11/24: A Very Bad Day

The news that Trump has won the vote and will become the next US president is bad for America. It's also bad for democracy, both there and everywhere else. It's bad for the rule of law, for women's rights, for civility in public discourse and for respect for facts. And its bad for the global climate. And for everyone who depends on it. Which is everyone.

The world climate is getting worse. The temperature increase will shortly exceed 1.5C and may reach 3C. But we're also at a point from which peak emissions may be in sight. GreenTech deployment in China and the misnamed (but who cares?) US Inflation Reduction Act are hopeful signs. We are not at peak. And the best that can happen now may not be enough to save us. But there is still hope.

Trump will undermine that hope. The measures in Project 2025 would stop government scientists from discussing the causes of climate change and government officials from even planning to mitigate that change. Or, appallingly, from planning emergency response to extreme weather events. Now we don't know whether Trump will do all that. He may do less. We do know that everything he does do will make effective climate action in the US much harder and will therefore make it harder everywhere. 

It's customary to end a post like this with optimism, however qualified. I can offer only two things. He can only be president for 4 years and he is not immortal.